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International Air Transport Association (IATA): It is estimated that the net profit of the aviation industry may reach 36.6 billion US dollars in 2025, and the number of air passengers may exceed 5 billion in 2025. On the 10th local time, IATA released the global aviation industry profit forecast for 2025. It is estimated that the net profit of the aviation industry will reach 36.6 billion US dollars in 2025, a slight improvement over 2024, and it is estimated that the net profit in 2024 will reach 31.5 billion US dollars. According to the report, despite the continuous cost and supply chain challenges, the profitability of the aviation industry has improved slightly. In addition, passenger traffic is expected to reach 5.2 billion in 2025, and the number of passengers will exceed 5 billion for the first time.Three quarters of the earth's land is gradually dry due to climate change. From December 2 to 13, the 16th Conference of the Parties to the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification (COP16) was held in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. On December 9, the United Nations released a report during the meeting, saying that about three-quarters of the world's land has gradually become dry due to climate change. In addition, the Copernican Climate Change Service of the European Union pointed out in a monthly bulletin of global air surface temperature in November released on December 6 that 2024 will be the hottest year on record in the world, and the current ultra-high temperature is expected to last until the first few months of 2025.Us department of defense: Guam missile defense system successfully shot down air-to-air medium-range missiles in the test.

Bank for International Settlements: Swap spreads are reflecting investors' concerns about excessive bond supply. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pointed out that huge government loans are having an impact on the global interest rate market, saying that investors have demanded higher premiums for buying sovereign bonds. In its quarterly report released on Tuesday, the agency pointed out that the swap spreads of various currencies and maturities have narrowed rapidly in recent months, which are "signs of possible oversupply". As investors are worried about huge debt and deficit expansion, the yields of government bonds in the euro zone and Japan have recently exceeded comparable swap rates. This leads to the so-called swap spread becoming negative. Because national debt is usually regarded as a safer investment than interest rate swap, it is unusual for the swap spread to enter the negative range. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the negative swap spread seems to reflect the pressure faced by investors and intermediaries because they need to absorb more government bonds in the near future. In the United States, the swap spreads for some maturities have been negative for many years.U.S. aviation stocks rose, while U.S. aviation stocks rose. Alaska Airlines (ALK.N) rose by 12%, American Airlines (AAL.O) rose by 3.8% and Boeing (BA.N) rose by about 3.1%. The Airline Association predicted that the overall profit and operating income of the industry would increase slightly in 2025.OPEC Secretary-General Haitham al Ghais was re-elected. The next regular meeting of OPEC will be held on May 28th, 2025.

Goldman Sachs CFO Coleman: The regulatory burden should be reduced during the term of President-elect Trump.Institution: AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months. Jane Foley, foreign exchange strategist of ABN amro, said in a report that AUD/NZD may rebound in the coming months, because the growth momentum of New Zealand's economy is far less than that of Australia. "The weakness of the New Zealand economy and the risk of further sharp interest rate cuts by the New Zealand Federal Reserve indicate that the fundamentals do not support the further performance of the New Zealand dollar against the Australian dollar." The New Zealand Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points in November and hinted that it would cut interest rates further in 2025. The Reserve Bank of Australia kept interest rates unchanged on Tuesday. The Dutch cooperative bank predicts that the Australian dollar will rise from the current 1.0991 to 1.12 against the New Zealand dollar within three months.Alaska Airlines shares rose 18%, the biggest increase since November 2020.